Comparison of Temperatures between scripts
WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
| Updated: 15-11-25 at 8:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 15-11-25 |
14 |
|
24 |
8 |
|
10 |
9 |
|
20 |
4 |
|
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
3 |
|
9 |
7 |
|
22 |
5 |
|
11 |
| 14-11-25 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
|
20 |
8 |
|
10 |
9 |
|
20 |
4 |
|
9 |
9 |
|
22 |
4 |
|
11 |
| 13-11-25 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
7 |
|
9 |
9 |
|
22 |
5 |
|
11 |
| 12-11-25 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
|
22 |
7 |
|
11 |
| 11-11-25 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
17 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
15 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 10-11-25 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 09-11-25 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 08-11-25 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
9 |
13 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 07-11-25 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
8 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 06-11-25 |
15 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
13 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 05-11-25 |
18 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
9 |
14 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 04-11-25 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 03-11-25 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
18 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 02-11-25 |
13 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
17 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
12 |
2 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
7.7 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
16.7 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
9.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
7.0 |
|
2.2 |
4.5 |
|
3.9 |
7.0 |
|
1.8 |
4.2 |
|
3.9 |
6.8 |
|
1.8 |
4.5 |
|
4.9 |
6.9 |
|
0.2 |
4.6 |
|
2.9 |
| Net Error |
-7.0 |
|
2.2 |
-4.5 |
|
-3.9 |
-7.0 |
|
-1.8 |
-4.2 |
|
-3.9 |
-6.8 |
|
-1.8 |
-4.5 |
|
-4.9 |
-6.9 |
|
0.2 |
-4.6 |
|
-2.9 |
| Std Dev |
1.6 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.6 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.4 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.4 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Updated: 14-11-25 at 8:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 14-11-25 |
11 |
|
24 |
14 |
|
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
10 |
|
10 |
4 |
|
20 |
8 |
|
9 |
3 |
|
22 |
7 |
|
11 |
| 13-11-25 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
10 |
|
9 |
5 |
|
22 |
9 |
|
11 |
| 12-11-25 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
11 |
|
9 |
7 |
|
22 |
8 |
|
11 |
| 11-11-25 |
10 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
|
22 |
12 |
|
11 |
| 10-11-25 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
17 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 09-11-25 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
17 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 08-11-25 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
9 |
8 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 07-11-25 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
9 |
8 |
21.8 |
22 |
13 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 06-11-25 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
9 |
7 |
21.8 |
22 |
12 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 05-11-25 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
21.8 |
22 |
13 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 04-11-25 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
8 |
21.8 |
22 |
14 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 03-11-25 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 02-11-25 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
17 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 01-11-25 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
9 |
12 |
21.8 |
22 |
17 |
13.9 |
11 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
8 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
12 |
7 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
11 |
6 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
7 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
61.5 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
58.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
54.5 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
70.0 |
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
12.4 |
|
2.2 |
1.4 |
|
3.9 |
12.3 |
|
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
3.9 |
12.2 |
|
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
4.9 |
12.3 |
|
0.2 |
1.5 |
|
2.9 |
| Net Error |
-12.4 |
|
2.2 |
0.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.3 |
|
-1.8 |
0.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.2 |
|
-1.8 |
0.9 |
|
-4.9 |
-12.3 |
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
|
-2.9 |
| Std Dev |
1.7 |
|
0.0 |
1.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
|
0.0 |
1.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.9 |
|
0.0 |
1.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|