Comparison of Temperatures between scripts
WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison
National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
| Updated: 13-05-26 at 7:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 13-05-26 |
12 |
|
24 |
6 |
|
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
4 |
|
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
6 |
|
9 |
14 |
|
22 |
7 |
|
11 |
| 12-05-26 |
14 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
|
20 |
7 |
|
10 |
12 |
|
20 |
5 |
|
9 |
13 |
|
22 |
5 |
|
11 |
| 11-05-26 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
|
20 |
7 |
|
9 |
12 |
|
22 |
5 |
|
11 |
| 10-05-26 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
5 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
14 |
|
22 |
7 |
|
11 |
| 09-05-26 |
21 |
21.8 |
24 |
9 |
13.9 |
10 |
20 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
5 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
10 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 08-05-26 |
19 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
22 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
21 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
9 |
14 |
21.8 |
22 |
5 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 07-05-26 |
17 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
20 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
22 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
21 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 06-05-26 |
14 |
21.8 |
24 |
6 |
13.9 |
10 |
17 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
23 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 05-05-26 |
16 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
13 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
10 |
15 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
9 |
20 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 04-05-26 |
20 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
6 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
7 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 03-05-26 |
17 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
10 |
13.9 |
10 |
16 |
21.8 |
20 |
7 |
13.9 |
9 |
13 |
21.8 |
22 |
6 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 02-05-26 |
24 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
19 |
21.8 |
20 |
9 |
13.9 |
9 |
16 |
21.8 |
22 |
8 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 01-05-26 |
26 |
21.8 |
24 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
24 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
20 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
9 |
18 |
21.8 |
22 |
9 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 30-04-26 |
21 |
21.8 |
24 |
8 |
13.9 |
10 |
26 |
21.8 |
20 |
12 |
13.9 |
10 |
24 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
9 |
20 |
21.8 |
22 |
11 |
13.9 |
11 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
3 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
12 |
3 |
|
0 |
3 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
0 |
4 |
|
10 |
0 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
23.1 |
|
0.0 |
15.4 |
|
0.0 |
25.0 |
|
100.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
27.3 |
|
100.0 |
9.1 |
|
0.0 |
40.0 |
|
100.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
4.4 |
|
2.2 |
5.0 |
|
3.9 |
4.5 |
|
1.8 |
4.9 |
|
3.9 |
4.5 |
|
1.8 |
5.4 |
|
4.9 |
4.3 |
|
0.2 |
5.6 |
|
2.9 |
| Net Error |
-3.4 |
|
2.2 |
-5.0 |
|
-3.9 |
-3.4 |
|
-1.8 |
-4.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-4.1 |
|
-1.8 |
-5.4 |
|
-4.9 |
-4.1 |
|
0.2 |
-5.6 |
|
-2.9 |
| Std Dev |
2.7 |
|
0.0 |
2.3 |
|
0.0 |
2.9 |
|
0.0 |
1.9 |
|
0.0 |
3.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.7 |
|
0.0 |
2.1 |
|
0.0 |
1.6 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Updated: 12-05-26 at 7:00 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° F |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| 12-05-26 |
8 |
|
24 |
12 |
|
10 |
7 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
10 |
5 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
9 |
6 |
|
22 |
14 |
|
11 |
| 11-05-26 |
6 |
21.8 |
24 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
10 |
7 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
9 |
5 |
|
22 |
13 |
|
11 |
| 10-05-26 |
7 |
21.8 |
24 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
5 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
|
20 |
14 |
|
9 |
7 |
|
22 |
13 |
|
11 |
| 09-05-26 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
10 |
5 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
|
22 |
14 |
|
11 |
| 08-05-26 |
8 |
21.8 |
24 |
22 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
6 |
21.8 |
20 |
14 |
13.9 |
9 |
5 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 07-05-26 |
8 |
21.8 |
24 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
9 |
21.8 |
20 |
23 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
21 |
13.9 |
9 |
7 |
21.8 |
22 |
15 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 06-05-26 |
6 |
21.8 |
24 |
17 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
22 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
21 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 05-05-26 |
8 |
21.8 |
24 |
14 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
20 |
13.9 |
9 |
10 |
21.8 |
22 |
23 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 04-05-26 |
11 |
21.8 |
24 |
16 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
11 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
9 |
7 |
21.8 |
22 |
19 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 03-05-26 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
20 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
15 |
13.9 |
10 |
7 |
21.8 |
20 |
13 |
13.9 |
9 |
6 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 02-05-26 |
14 |
21.8 |
24 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
18 |
13.9 |
10 |
10 |
21.8 |
20 |
16 |
13.9 |
9 |
7 |
21.8 |
22 |
16 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 01-05-26 |
12 |
21.8 |
24 |
24 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
10 |
11 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
9 |
9 |
21.8 |
22 |
17 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 30-04-26 |
9 |
21.8 |
24 |
26 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
24 |
13.9 |
10 |
14 |
21.8 |
20 |
19 |
13.9 |
9 |
11 |
21.8 |
22 |
18 |
13.9 |
11 |
| 29-04-26 |
8 |
21.8 |
24 |
22 |
13.9 |
10 |
8 |
21.8 |
20 |
27 |
13.9 |
10 |
12 |
21.8 |
20 |
24 |
13.9 |
9 |
13 |
21.8 |
22 |
21 |
13.9 |
11 |
| Results |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
NW |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
0 |
|
0 |
2 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
12 |
3 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
11 |
3 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
1 |
|
0 |
| % Succ |
|
|
0.0 |
15.4 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
25.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
27.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0 |
10.0 |
|
0.0 |
| Ave Error |
12.7 |
|
2.2 |
5.3 |
|
3.9 |
12.6 |
|
1.8 |
5.2 |
|
3.9 |
12.9 |
|
1.8 |
4.4 |
|
4.9 |
13.2 |
|
0.2 |
4.3 |
|
2.9 |
| Net Error |
-12.7 |
|
2.2 |
4.9 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.6 |
|
-1.8 |
4.5 |
|
-3.9 |
-12.9 |
|
-1.8 |
4.2 |
|
-4.9 |
-13.2 |
|
0.2 |
4.3 |
|
-2.9 |
| Std Dev |
2.3 |
|
0.0 |
3.3 |
|
0.0 |
2.4 |
|
0.0 |
2.6 |
|
0.0 |
1.9 |
|
0.0 |
2.6 |
|
0.0 |
1.8 |
|
0.0 |
2.3 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|