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WxSim & NWS Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Updated: 30-09-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
30-09-22 18   6 11   16 17   11 12   16 16   11 9   15 17   11 9   16
29-09-22 16 4.8 6 6 16.8 16 17   6 11   16 16   10 11   14 17   9 10   15
28-09-22 14 4.8 8 5 14.7 15 15 4.8 9 8 16.8 16 17   8 11   16 16   10 12   14
27-09-22 12 7.7 9 7 13.4 11 14 4.8 8 6 14.7 13 15 4.8 9 6 16.8 13 17   9 10   15
26-09-22 12 8.9 11 8 13.2 12 12 7.7 8 7 13.4 12 14 4.8 8 6 14.7 12 15 4.8 7 6 16.8 13
25-09-22 16 10.7 9 9 18.1 17 13 8.9 11 9 13.2 12 12 7.7 8 7 13.4 11 14 4.8 8 6 14.7 14
24-09-22 14 8.1 12 8 15.1 14 17 10.7 11 10 18.1 17 13 8.9 10 9 13.2 12 13 7.7 9 8 13.4 13
23-09-22 18 12.9 8 12 18.8 17 15 8.1 11 9 15.1 15 17 10.7 11 9 18.1 15 13 8.9 9 8 13.2 13
22-09-22 19 8.3 6 8 20.0 19 18 12.9 8 11 18.8 18 15 8.1 11 9 15.1 14 17 10.7 11 9 18.1 18
21-09-22 18 5.9 6 5 18.8 17 19 8.3 7 7 20.0 20 19 12.9 9 11 18.8 20 17 8.1 12 9 15.1 15
20-09-22 17 7.0 10 6 17.4 16 18 5.9 9 5 18.8 18 19 8.3 7 7 20.0 19 19 12.9 8 10 18.8 20
19-09-22 16 10.8 9 10 17.7 16 17 7.0 10 8 17.4 16 18 5.9 7 7 18.8 17 19 8.3 7 8 20.0 19
18-09-22 14 8.7 10 9 15.7 13 17 10.8 9 10 17.7 14 17 7.0 8 9 17.4 15 18 5.9 8 8 18.8 17
17-09-22 15 11.7 9 11 17.5 13 14 8.7 8 9 15.7 11 17 10.8 9 10 17.7 15 16 7.0 9 9 17.4 14
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 6 0 10 0 5 0 10 0 7 0 5 0 5 0 8
% Succ     46.2     76.9     41.7     83.3     63.6     45.5     50.0     80.0
Ave Error 7.0   2.3 8.7   1.7 7.5   2.3 8.4   1.5 7.8   1.9 8.5   2.1 8.2   2.1 8.5   1.3
Net Error 7.0   0.2 -8.7   -1.6 7.5   0.9 -8.4   -1.5 7.8   0.6 -8.5   -1.9 8.2   0.9 -8.5   -1.0
Std Dev 2.9   1.2 2.5   0.7 2.5   1.3 2.6   0.7 2.1   1.3 2.2   0.9 1.8   1.1 1.8   1.1

Updated: 30-09-22 at 3:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
30-09-22 11   18 17   11 11   16 17   11 8   16 18   9 11   17 20   12
29-09-22 5 16.8 16 18 4.7 6 11   16 17   9 12   15 16   9 10   15 17   13
28-09-22 5 14.7 12 16 4.6 7 6 16.8 16 17 4.7 6 11   16 17   10 11   16 16   10
27-09-22 7 13.4 14 14 7.7 7 6 14.7 11 15 4.6 7 6 16.8 15 17 4.7 8 10   16 16   11
26-09-22 8 13.2 13 12 8.9 8 7 13.4 11 13 7.7 7 6 14.7 12 15 4.6 8 6 16.8 12 17 4.7 9
25-09-22 9 18.1 18 13 10.7 11 8 13.2 13 12 8.9 8 7 13.4 10 14 7.7 8 7 14.7 13 15 4.6 9
24-09-22 8 15.1 16 17 7.3 10 10 18.1 17 13 10.7 10 8 13.2 13 12 8.9 9 7 13.4 12 13 7.7 8
23-09-22 11 18.8 19 16 12.9 11 9 15.1 13 17 7.3 11 10 18.1 16 13 10.7 9 8 13.2 13 12 8.9 9
22-09-22 8 20.0 20 19 8.3 9 12 18.8 17 15 12.9 11 9 15.1 13 17 7.3 10 8 18.1 17 15 10.7 9
21-09-22 5 18.8 17 19 5.6 7 8 20.0 19 19 8.3 9 11 18.8 19 17 12.9 12 9 15.1 14 17 7.3 12
20-09-22 7 17.4 17 18 6.9 7 5 18.8 18 20 5.6 7 7 20.0 19 19 8.3 10 11 18.8 20 16 12.9 12
19-09-22 9 17.7 17 16 10.6 9 7 17.4 16 18 6.9 7 6 18.8 17 19 5.6 7 8 20.0 19 19 8.3 8
18-09-22 9 15.7 16 16 8.5 10 9 17.7 14 17 10.6 9 10 17.4 17 18 6.9 9 7 18.8 18 19 5.6 7
17-09-22 11 17.5 16 14 11.7 9 9 15.7 12 16 8.5 9 11 17.7 13 17 10.6 9 10 17.4 14 18 6.9 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 12 0 10 0 7 0 10 0 6 0 7 0 8 0 7
% Succ     92.3     76.9     58.3     83.3     54.5     63.6     80.0     70.0
Ave Error 8.9   0.8 7.7   1.4 8.6   1.9 7.9   1.3 8.5   1.9 8.2   1.7 8.5   1.7 8.3   1.9
Net Error -8.9   -0.5 7.7   0.2 -8.6   -1.9 7.9   0.4 -8.5   -1.8 8.2   1.0 -8.5   -1.4 8.3   1.3
Std Dev 2.4   0.7 3.7   0.7 2.5   0.9 3.9   0.9 2.1   0.9 3.2   1.0 1.7   1.1 2.7   1.6